
“Although March did not continue the trend of record sales years in 2021-2022, the market is not yet supportive of a significant acceleration in the number of transactions, especially as financing costs remain high. With inflation falling more slowly than official forecasts suggest, we believe that a more significant decline in interest rates from the current level of just under 6% is likely early next year. Barring any new major shocks affecting the demand for residential properties in the coming period, we expect the large month-to-month fluctuations typical of the post-pandemic years to be gradually replaced by more moderate and predictable fluctuations”, points out Gabriel Blăniță, Associate Director Valuation & Advisory Services at Colliers Romania.
While the forecast indicates a decrease in the number of residential units delivered in Bucharest for both this year and the next, sales in the capital during the first three months of the year were approximately 18% higher than in the same period in 2023. This surge in demand is expected to exert pressure on prices in the medium term. Among the major cities, Timisoara saw the most significant increase in turnover (24%). However, the primary factor driving this growth is the base effect, given that sales were exceptionally low in the first two months of last year due to increasing financing costs.
In Cluj-Napoca, March didn’t match the sales momentum seen at the start of the year, but over the quarter as a whole the trend was similar to that in the capital, with an increase of 18%. Considering Cluj’s status as the most expensive residential market in the country, Colliers consultants anticipate that achieving sales records from recent years will pose a challenge for some time, unless there’s a notable acceleration in new housing development.
In Iasi, the volume of transactions in the first quarter exceeded previous levels significantly, attributed to the completion of several large complexes in the initial months of the year. Even without considering these completions, sales activity in Iasi is on the rise compared to recent years, signaling an acceleration in the city’s development pace.
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